For the past couple of months I've had a hard time using the Golden Globes and SAGs as a good precursor for the contest. There were a couple surprises this month like Golden Igloo winner "Gray Daze" failing to score a BP nom. It doesn't really surprise me because I felt it was mainly a Grace vehicle. I continue to be surprised by the support for "Glitz" and I was somewhat shocked that "Oil" got as many noms as it did. I was disappointed to see that "Standardized Text" didn't make the cut in the Musical/Comedy category, I felt that was one of the strongest baits of the month, but people didn't like it because of the casting choices. I was kinda surprised that Alec Baldwin got nommed again for a spot that should've gone to Greg Kinnear. Here are my predictions (and yes I factored my bait into it, it would just be stupid not to):
Best Picture (Drama)
Rooting For: Lucky Clover
Should Win: Lucky Clover
Will Win: Lucky Clover
Best Actor (Drama)
Rooting For: Javier Bardem-The Informer
Should Win: George Clooney-Oil
Will Win: Topher Grace-Gray Daze
Best Actress (Drama)
Rooting For: Glenn Close-The Last Page
Should Win: Emma Thompson-Lucky Clover
Will Win: Rene Russo-The End Of The Alphabet
Best Picture (Musical/Comedy)
Rooting For: Captain Fantastic
Should Win: Captain Fantastic
Will Win: Mom Is 80
Best Actor (Musical/Comedy)
Rooting For: Philip Seymour Hoffman-Captain Fantastic
Should Win: Kevin Spacey-Behind The Show
Will Win: Jim Carrey-Glitz
Best Actress (Musical/Comedy)
Rooting For: Toni Collette-Song And Dance Man
Should Win: Toni Collette-Song And Dance Man
Will Win: Renee Zellweger-Glitz
Best Supporting Actor
Rooting For: Liam Neeson-Lucky Clover
Should Win: Denzel Washington-Running Miles
Will Win: Christopher Plummer-Oil
Best Supporting Actress:
Rooting For: Frances McDormand-Mom Is 80
Should Win: Frances McDormand-Mom Is 80
Will Win: Frances McDormand-Mom Is 80
Best Director
Rooting For: Jim Sheridan-Lucky Clover
Should Win: Jim Sheridan-Lucky Clover
Will Win: Robert Redford-Gray Daze
Best Screenplay:
Rooting For: Lucky Clover
Should Win: Thr Informer
Will Win: Lucky Clover
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3 comments:
I understand why you put your own baits in the running, I do it too, but don't you think its a little vain to say that your bait "should win" Best Picture?
Vanity is a quality of someone who craves success and goes to dire lengths to achieve it, even if it means making one sound like a prick. That's what kind of guy I am.
If you need to say that you think your own bait is the best of the month, then that means it wasn't good enough to succeed on its own. It's being insecure.
Now, my predictions (these are will wins, not should wins):
Best Picture-Drama:
The 27th Victim
Best Actor-Drama:
Topher Grace-Gray Daze
Best Actress-Drama:
Glenn Close-The Last Page
Best Picture-M/C:
Mom is 80/Behind the Show (can't decide)
Best Actor-M/C:
Philip Seymour Hoffman-Captain Fantastic
Best Actress-M/C:
Bea Arthur-Mom is 80
Best Supporting Actor:
Christopher Plummer-Oil
Best Supporting Actress:
Alicja Bachleda-Curus-Behind the Show
Best Director:
Robert Redford-Gray Daze
Best Screenplay:
Lucky Clover
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