Predictions for August Awards

Best Adapted Screenplay:
**Deep Secret**
Fallout
The Picture Of Dorian Gray
The Man Who Invented Rock Hudson
You're A Good Man, Charlie Brown

Deep Secret, Fallout, and The Man Who Invented Rock Hudson are locks because they are probably going to be nominated for Best Picture. Dorian Gray seems like a logical choice because the book is so well-known and the bait is getting a lot of praise. This is the only category that I think the bait will breakthrough in the Big 8. Charlie Brown is my really out-there choice and could easily be replaced by Grey Gardens or Indigo Prophecy, but I think voters will only go for one VG adaptation. Expect Deep Secret to take it with Rock Hudson as a spoiler.


Best Original Screenplay:
Foggy London Nights
In Between
Six Days In '67
Quiet Room
**The Winter Sun**

Six Days is in on the BP slot. Quiet Room and The Winter Sun will mostly get in because they were nominated at the GGs and have a large fanbase. In Between is a historical drama with romance, although it could be replaced by something more popular like The Courtroom. Foggy London Nights has somewhat of a cult following that usually shows up in the screenplay categories. Winter Sun will win because it is creative and I feel it won't get recognized elsewhere.


Best Supporting Actress:
Kathy Bates-Rabbit Hole
Jill Clayburgh-Grey Gardens
Edie Falco-Everyday
**Robin Wright Penn-Quiet Room**
Emma Thompson-The Final Days

Kathy Bates will get in because her role is very likeable and there aren't that many worthy candidates this month. Jill Clayburgh will get the Grey Gardens spot. Robin Wright Penn will most likely win because the bait she is in is very well liked and I doubt I'll win the same category two months in a row (even though it would be nice). And Edie Falco appears to have a strong following. Emma Thompson is my surprise nominee because her role is very baity and she has at least one vote. Don't be shocked if someone else from Grey Gardens makes it in or Jennifer Hudson from Bat Out of Hell.


Best Supporting Actor:
**James Gandolfini-The Winter Sun**
Ewan McGregor-Deep Secret
Julian McMahon-The Man Who Invented Rock Hudson
Daniel Radcliffe-Foggy London Nights
Justin Theroux-Quiet Room

Gandolfini has a lot of support from lovers of the bait and Tony Soprano. Theroux is in the strongest ensemble of the month. Radcliffe has a well-liked role. McGregor is in a probable BP. That leaves Julian McMahon, who will get in because people will want to recognize the bait all over the board. Although, Hinds or McAvoy from Six Days in '67 could make it in or Greg Kinnear from Rabbit Hole.


Best Actress:
Christina Applegate-No More Smiles
**Jennifer Connolly-Quiet Room**
Christine Ebersole-Grey Gardens
Kerry Washington-Six Days In '67
Catherine Zeta-Jones-The Munsters With Yvonne De Carlo

Zeta-Jones pulled off two huge surprises at the GGs and SAGs. Kerry Washington and Jennifer Connolly were nommed for both. Ebersole is playing probably the baitiest of all the women but she is the most likely not to get in. Applegate will get nommed because the category is limited and musical actresses usually slide in. Don't be surprised if Brittany Murphy or Sigourney Weaver make the list. Connolly wins because Zeta-Jones doesn't have enough support amongst Academy voters.


Best Actor:
Jeff Bridges-Bee-Bee's Funhouse
Brian Cox-Deep Secret
**Chiwetel Ejiofor-Six Days In '67**
Joseph Gordon-Leavitt- Fallout
Michael Imperioli-The Man Who Invented Rock Hudson

Imperioli and Cox are no brainers. Ejiofor is a very well written character in a very well written bait. Bridges has some minor support. Gordon-Leavitt will get in on love for Zgamer's bait. I wouldn't doubt Billy Crudup taking his place. And I'm gonna go out on a long shot and call Ejiofor the winner because I think the voters will tire of Imperioli's domination.

Best Director:
Jack Bender-Fallout
**Antoine Fuqua-Six Days In '67**
Ang Lee-The Winter Sun
David Lynch-Quiet Room
Robert Zemeckis-The Legend Of Zelda: The End of Forever

Lee and Fuqua are in. Lynch, while overrated, is definite. Bender is a default nominee. Zemeckis is a surprise nominee, although anybody else could get nominated. Fuqua will win because Lee peaked too late in the month.

Best Picture:
Deep Secret
Fallout
**The Man Who Invented Rock Hudson**
Quiet Room
Six Days In '67

Deep Secret, Fallout, The Man Who Invented Rock Hudson, and Six Days In '67 seem like locks, although I feel any could be knocked out for a surprise. Quiet Room is getting a lot of praise that I think will carry it to a nom. Bee-Bee's Funhouse is a possible spoiler. Rock Hudson is a biopic, a great story, and written by a LOOOOOOOONG overdue author. It will win