Thursday, July 19, 2007

My Current Emmy Predictions

Best Series (Drama)
Boston Legal
Grey’s Anatomy
Heroes
House
**The Sopranos**

This is the worst line-up for this category ever! The closest thing it comes to greatness in "Sopranos" so it will win and deservedly should win. I have this sneaking suspicion that some of Tony's men managed to "convince" the Academy voters that it's only competition ("Lost" and "FNL") weren't...kosher.

Best Series (Comedy)
30 Rock
Entourage
**The Office**
Two and a Half Men
Ugly Betty

This category is the only one I predicted 5/5! But it's not that easy to call. But I think "The Office" can pull off a 2nd win if they choose some of the best episodes, but "30 Rock" could sneak up from behind and pull off a "Arrested Development" victory. I've never watched "Ugly Betty" so I really can only judge it on the buzz I hear, which is good but not great. I think it might be too flamboyant for the Emmy voters to accept, and like a former winner in this category once said: "not that there's anything wrong with that."

Best Actor (Drama)
**James Gandolfini-The Sopranos**
Hugh Laurie-House
Denis Leary-Rescue Me
James Spader-Boston Legal
Kiefer Sutherland-24

I really wanted to see Matthew Fox in the line-up. He was so good in the finale and if he would've just submitted that instead of the season premiere, he probably would've made it. Kiefer has become a default nominee, but he was the best part of the show this season and was really good in the beginning like when he had to kill Curtis. Leary lost his chance last year. James Spader is good in "Boston Legal" but that good? I think not. So that leaves us with Laurie and Gandolfini and because this is "The Sopranos" swan song, they will probably will reward the latter. Laurie can win next year. Plus, Gandolfini's performance in "The Second Coming" was pretty effing good.

Best Actor (Comedy)
**Alec Baldwin-30 Rock**
Steve Carell-The Office
Ricky Gervais-Extras
Tony Shalhoub-Monk
Charlie Sheen-Two and a Half Men

If Tony Shalhoub wins again, I will be extremely pissed. His constant winning in this category has begun to make me hate him as a person. Thankfully, he's not really buzzed but that didn't stop him last year. Sheen has no buzz and is somewhat made a mockerie of. Gervais is probably the most deserving of the group but I don't think he stands a chance against the star power of the remaining two. Carell should've won last year and he might get it this year but I personally believe that Baldwin is more deserving. If he switches his submission to "Jack-Tor", he will win but if he doesn't then expect Carell to win.

Best Actress (Drama)
Patricia Arquette-Medium
Minnie Driver-The Riches
Edie Falco-The Sopranos
Sally Field-Brothers & Sisters
Mariska Hargitay-Law & Order: Special Victims Unit
**Kyra Sedgwick-The Closer**

I really can't say much about this category because I only watch one of the shows. Having said that, Falco does not deserve to win, that was last year. Hargitay won last year but she faces the same problem as Sutherland (an overdue actor who finally won, now we move on). Driver has almost no buzz. I think a lot of people will be rooting for Field because she is so well known. Arquette supposedly has a knockout submission but Sedgwick is supposedly better. I'll go with Sedgwick for now, but don't be surprised if I switch to Arquette, I mean she won 2 years ago.

Best Actress (Comedy)
**America Ferrera-Ugly Betty**
Tina Fey-30 Rock
Felicity Huffman-Desperate Housewives
Julia Louis-Dreyfus-The New Adventures Of Old Christine
Mary-Louise Parker-Weeds

Julia ("Stella!!!!!) Louis-Dreyfus won last year but doesn't have a good submission this year, neither does Parker, who could've won if she was nommed last year. I don't think Fey is respected enough as an actress to win. Huffman is the most praised of the "Housewives" but she also falls plague to the fact that she submitted a more dramatic episode, contradictory to the category. America Ferrera has won the GG and the SAG and a whole bunch of critic's awards. This is the easiest race to call.

Best Supporting Actor (Drama)
Michael Emerson-Lost
**Michael Imperioli-The Sopranos**
T.R. Knight-Grey’s Anatomy
Masi Oka-Heroes
Terry O’Quinn-Lost
William Shatner-Boston Legal

This is my favorite category in the Emmys and Oscars and it happens to be this year's most satisfying. Supporting Actor for Drama was the only one they got right! The Shat will probably always get nominated for this show because he is William Shatner and, like Alec Baldwin, people just love him. But he won't win. Masi Oka was definately the best thing about "Heroes" but I can't help but feel he his just comic relief. Knight went through a very rough year in the press but had his best season yet. "Six Days" is very moving and could give the man a surprise win if people fall for his despair. Emerson and O'Quinn from "Lost" are both very deserving but I feel they will split votes from each other because they share almost every powerful moment, but if one were to win I would have to say Emerson because he could leech off of O'Quinn's submission like Huffman did two years ago. That leaves Imperioli, who will win because of vote splitting and an absolutely tragic scene in the end of his submission (I mentioned it before but it's when he shot Tim Daly).

Best Supporting Actor (Comedy)
Jon Cryer-Two and a Half Men
Kevin Dillon-Entourage
Neil Patrick Harris-How I Met Your Mother
Jeremy Piven-Entourage
**Rainn Wilson-The Office**

Good nominees as well. Cryer and Harris are out because they are from CBS comedies and they are not "Everybody Loves Raymond". Dillon and Piven are fighting for the "Entourage" spot, but Piven had "Manic Monday", almost as good as the episode he won for last year ('Exodus"). Dillon could pull off a sympathy win but I feel only regular viewers of the show will feel the emotion. Rainn Wilson is one of the funniest parts of the show and he had several very good episodes this year. "The Coup" is his goose with a golden egg.

Best Supporting Actress (Drama)
**Lorraine Bracco-The Sopranos**
Rachel Griffiths-Brothers & Sisters
Katherine Heigl-Grey’s Anatomy
Sandra Oh-Grey’s Anatomy
Aida Turturro-The Sopranos
Chandra Wilson-Grey’s Anatomy

And the winner is...Elizabeth Mitchell! I wish. Griffiths lacks the buzz and probably only got in on old "Six Feet Under" love. Heigl and Turturro are the weakest nominees of their respective shows, but Tuturro had "Soprano Home Movies". Wilson only really had one good thing to do this year, but that was the writer's fault, although she is very well liked. That leaves Oh and Bracco. The fact that Bracco even got nominated is something to talk about seeing as the last three seasons have considerably destroyed her character. I think Emmy voters will remember her rape episode from 2000 and finally give it to her. But Oh did get left at the alter. Hmmm.

Best Supporting Actress (Comedy)
Conchata Ferrell-Two and a Half Men
**Jenna Fischer-The Office**
Elizabeth Perkins-Weeds
Jaime Pressly-My Name Is Earl
Holland Taylor-Two and a Half Men
Vanessa Williams-Ugly Betty

Ferrell and Taylor are out. Perkins has positively no buzz. Pressly doesn't have a good submission this year. Williams is liked and supposedly has some really good episodes, but can she stop Pam Beasley? Fischer's character is extremely likeable and she is a really good actress to top it all off! The final scene of "The Job" is more than enough to secure her win, but I actually think she could even pull it off with "Beach Games"

I'll just rattle off my predicted winners in the Guest acting, writing, and directing categories.

Best Guest Actor (Drama)
Forest Whitaker-ER

Best Guest Actor (Comedy)
Stanley Tucci-Monk

Best Guest Actress (Drama)
Marcia Gay Harden-Law & Order: Special Victims Unit

Best Guest Actress (Comedy)
Laurie Metcalfe-Desperate Housewives

Best Directing (Drama)
Peter Berg-Friday Night Lights

Best Directing (Comedy)
Ricky Gervais, Stephen Merchant-Extras

Best Writing (Drama)
David Chase-The Sopranos

Best Writing (Comedy)
Tina Fey-30 rock

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